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Potential Impacts of the New Global Financial Architecture on Poor Countries

Charles C. Soludo & Musunuru S. Rao

Published July 2005, 78 pages, ISBN: 2-86978-158-X

This study assesses the potential impacts of a New Global Financial Architecture (NGFA) on poor countries and poor people. Put forth largely by the group of most industrialized countries and the Bretton Woods Institutions, NGFA is rooted in the neo-Walrasian, market fundamentalist view of the world, with the obvious consequence of increasing the vulnerabilities of small and poorer developing countries to frequent financial crises. The study argues that the claim of this model that global growth and equity would be 'best' served by deeper financial integration through open capital accounts is founded on shaky theoretical and empirical grounds. The model of premature and complete liberalization of the capital account in the context of endemic poverty, under developed and weak markets and institutions, and little or no formal social safety nets, is shown to exacerbate the vulnerability of small open (especially low-income) economies to disruptive and costly crises without any tangible benefits. Over time, this exposure could be growth retarding, as the devastating effects of shocks can be permanent especially on the poor. It threatens to confine deepening poverty and destitution in certain geographic boundaries and prosperity in others, leading to an ever widening gap between rich and poor countries and peoples.

 

Charles Soludo is currently Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria. Prior to which he was a senior lecturer in the Department of Economics at the University of Nigeria in Nsukka, Nigeria. Dr Soludo is a member of the governing council of the Nigerian Economic Society.

Musunuru Rao is an adviser to several leading international development organizations and institutions. He is Senior Vice President, KCP Associates International.

Contents

Summaryv
1. Introduction1
2. Rationale and Overview of the New Global Financial Architecture4
Rationale     4
Objective 5
Main Elements of the NGFA5
Assessment 7
Standards, Codes, Principles and Regulations8
Provisions Targeting Developing Countries and Poor People10
3. Disputing the Framework of the New Architecture 12
Underlying Development Model12
Critique of the Model 15
Global Financial Governance19
Critique of the NGFA Framework20
4. Evaluating the Potential Impacts 25
Potential Impacts on Developing Countries25
Specific Impacts on Poor Countries27
5. Towards an Inclusive Architecture37
People, Poverty and the NGFA37
Some Elements of an Inclusive NGFA37
Reconciling Wall Street with Copenhagen (or Main Street)38
Participation: Whose Architecture?41
Some Issues Relevant to Poor Countries42
Conclusions 52
References57
Appendix Tables60
Annexes

ISBN: 2-86978-158-X Africa: US$10.00, 5000CFA; Elsewhere: £10.00 /$15.00


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